Thread: Play along
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Old 07-23-2008, 03:33 PM
PokerJonny PokerJonny is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2008
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Default fold - are you kidding?

It would be useful to know the buy in and prize structure.

Unless this was a life changing tournament (e.g. top nine qualify for the WSOP) or where the 9th place was really WORTH winning I would not be folding here.

JJ is a top 5 hand - you do not win tournaments by folding these hands - I assume you are in it to win and not just finish 9th?

Firstly there is a raise from the big stack - I doubt he has a hand and is most likely trying to bully everyone else on the bubble to obtain a bigger stack that he can use to win the tournament with.

What do you know about the big stack? - good player? lots of standard pf raises? use this information to help your decision.

I am assuming that he has raised at least 3xBB = 6k making a pot of about 10K.

If you win it you will have 33k and be in a good position.

You have to use the information available about the player you are up against - but if this smells like a steal I push all in - and he will probably fold giving you the pot.

Even if he has a hand - only 3 hands are favourite against you and I doubt he has one of these - you are slight favourite against AQ, AK and 70% against AJ and lower, and 80% v lower PPs.

SO IMO - PUSH

A more conseravative play may be call - hope the flop comes low and then push - but the problem here is that you do not know where you stand if an overcards comes.
Folding premium hands may leave you close to bubble pushing hands like Ax - so take your chance now.

Last edited by PokerJonny; 07-23-2008 at 03:42 PM. Reason: addiditional info
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