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Thread: Can't believe how often I'm getting 2's and 3's-check out these stats...

  1. #1

    Default Can't believe how often I'm getting 2's and 3's-check out these stats...

    I've played several sit and go tournaments and over the last two days, my cards consist of either a 2 or a 3 28.8% of the time!

    I'm currently playing a tournament and have had a 2 or a 3 for 20 out of 71 hands.

    Please tell me if my calculations are wrong, but there are only four 2's and four 3's in a deck of 52. 8 divided by 52 equals .15.

    So, am I correct in thinking that there's a 15% chance I'll have either a 2 or a 3 in my hand?

    Am I totally off on this? I really appreciate any insight you may have.

    Thanks!

  2. #2
    villaridge's Avatar
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    anything in life will throw u odd stuff. for statistics to become meaningful, you got to have a huge sample size. try a minimum of 10,000 hands and u will start to see the patterns u expect, go ahead and get 50,000 hands for the math to catch up.

    When I see Intolerance, I have Zero Tolerance

  3. #3
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    Default

    Hi,

    Theres my Stats at Fulltilt for the last 19893 Hands.

    got 22 -> 98 Times or 0.49%
    got 33 -> 65 Times or 0.33%

    most Hands: J6o -> 205 Times
    less Hands: 62s -> 39 Tmes


    btw:
    got AA -> 89 Times and the winnig percentage is 93,1%


    cya
    mac°
    Last edited by macmuckalot; 10-08-2009 at 04:35 PM.
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    that never takes the chance.

  4. #4
    Poker Orifice's Avatar
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    Mac... OP is talking about being dealt either a '2' or a '3' in his hand... not a pr of 2's & pr of 3's.
    Brad Booth - > "Like a fight... it's not how you start, it's how you finish"

  5. #5
    macmuckalot's Avatar
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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by Poker Orifice View Post
    Mac... OP is talking about being dealt either a '2' or a '3' in his hand... not a pr of 2's & pr of 3's.
    ops, sorry
    It's the dream afraid of waking
    that never takes the chance.

  6. #6
    villaridge's Avatar
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    math gives me a headache. so I will leave it to a whiz to answer this

    but I still bet that over a larger sample size, seeing a 2 or 3 , in combination with any other card will even out and be statistically insignificant.

    but on the other hand, yeah, I've had days where that happens a lot. I call them the X rag 2 days, lol

    When I see Intolerance, I have Zero Tolerance

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    Default

    Quote Originally Posted by villaridge View Post
    anything in life will throw u odd stuff. for statistics to become meaningful, you got to have a huge sample size. try a minimum of 10,000 hands and u will start to see the patterns u expect, go ahead and get 50,000 hands for the math to catch up.
    Yea, you need a big sample of hands to see that everything is normal and that luck is only a small factor. But with him asking himself this question, I don't see him at 50k hands very soon
    0 = XP + (1 - X)(-LV + WH)

  8. #8
    rgchan's Avatar
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    Whats wrong with 2-3 0 anyway ?? Motan bets them and wins with them most of the time !! rofl
    RG

  9. #9
    villaridge's Avatar
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    thats all about table image and fold equity with Motan. duhhhhhh

    When I see Intolerance, I have Zero Tolerance

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    Quote Originally Posted by villaridge View Post
    thats all about table image and fold equity with Motan. duhhhhhh
    You bastards!! Now I'm exposed I don't have any more secrets!!!!!
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