General Theory Question

[Arjonius]

Anomalies can arise any time you deal with statistics of this sort. That's why statistical calculations come with confidence ranges; e.g. 95% confidence means there's a one in 20 chance the result falls outside the mathematical / statistical expectation.

In poker, there's a compounding factor in that the amount available to win can differ significantly. Again, this will average out over a large sample size, but a given individual's sample may be too small, which can lead to results both above and below what the math predicts.

[mafalda34]

man thats pretty silly. I mean ok maybe once u win 40 out of a 100 when u have 35%, but the next time u will win 30 out of a 100 and so on. The thing is on the future u will only win 35%. So i dont undesrstand any of your suggestions.

[Disturbed]

Originally Posted by mafalda34

man thats pretty silly. I mean ok maybe once u win 40 out of a 100 when u have 35%, but the next time u will win 30 out of a 100 and so on. The thing is on the future u will only win 35%. So i dont undesrstand any of your suggestions.

haha my entire argument is built on believing that the 35% is based on the group not the individual. and individuals can be as low as 10% and as high as 60%

I think its prolly based on a big number regardless if its 1 person or 2 or 10. At least this way we can still sleep at night and play poker lol.

[MizzouFan29]

That's an excellent question. Some have great luck, and some have poor luck. Heck, some people have great luck on some days and their luck couldn't get worst on others. I guess really in the long run, skill always beats luck.

[GK71]

I think this is just a really, really big reason of playing within your bankroll. So if you don't hit your flush when you're getting the right odds, you don't go on tilt because your roll took a really big hit.